Celina is a tight seller’s market — about 2.4 months of supply — so the right home won’t wait. But it’s also the affordable, still-building corner of Citrus Hills, which gives you an unusual choice: a brand-new builder home at the top of the range, or a resale in the $260,000s to low $400,000s. Judge both the same way — on price per square foot, where the market sits about 11% off a thin 2022 high (still up ~17% since 2021). Leverage is selective: recent buyers paid a median of 98% of ask, but since 2021 the homes that overpriced — resales and new builds alike — sat 120 days and sold about $35,900.00 under their first number.
Celina Hills sits on the eastern edge of the Villages of Citrus Hills, south of Route 486 — a deed-restricted community of roughly half-acre lots on Citrus Hills’ rolling terrain. It’s the community’s most accessible price point: smaller homes (mostly 1,200–2,100 sq ft) selling in the $260,000s to low $400,000s. It’s also still filling in, so about a quarter of the past year’s sales were brand-new builder homes.
That gives you a real choice most Citrus Hills villages don’t. A new build here sits at the top of the range (recent ones closed at a median of $372,500); a comparable resale runs well below. Neither is automatically the better buy — we judge both on price per square foot. And because only 5–10 resales sell a year, the per-foot numbers bounce ($185–$210, today near $188), so we lean on the handful of true comps, not one noisy year. Where a home lands per foot is what we offer to.
Median resale value per square foot by calendar year (2026 is year-to-date through September). We chart per-foot value, not median price — but note Celina is a small market (5–10 sales a year), so even this line is noisy: read it as a band around $185–$210, today near $188. That band is your yardstick for judging any home, new or resale.
| Year | Sold | Median Price | $/SqFt | DOM | At/over ask |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 5 | 285,000.00 | $161.24 | 6 | 60% |
| 2022 | 9 | 340,000.00 | $211.94 | 10 | 56% |
| 2023 | 5 | 364,000.00 | $189.10 | 23 | 40% |
| 2024 | 8 | 327,500.00 | $195.71 | 26 | 0% |
| 2025 | 9 | 335,000.00 | $187.26 | 28 | 11% |
| 2026 YTD | 10 | 302,500.00 | $188.27 | 31 | 20% |
Resale homes only; full calendar years with 2026 as year-to-date through September.
The Peak Test: on value per square foot, Celina’s high was a thin 2022 ($212 on just 9 sales); today’s ~$188 is about 11% under it (still up ~17% since 2021). In a market this small one year can mislead — so anchor your offer to the recent resale band, not the 2022 spike or a builder’s asking price.
None failed this cycle, but over time some do — and that helps you two ways. First, a seller whose home has sat for months is a negotiation waiting to happen. Second, those expired and withdrawn homes are inventory the portals no longer show — the owners still want to sell, and we can approach them directly for you.
Long-run perspective: resale value per square foot is up about 17% since 2021. You’re buying into a proven community with the negotiating room this market gives you.