The eastern, still-building edge of Citrus Hills · roughly half-acre homesites at the community’s most accessible prices
Prepared October 1, 2026 · Resale single-family homes
SELLER'S MARKET
Just 2.4 months of supply — a very tight market. But about a quarter of this year’s sales are new construction, and pricing your resale to a builder’s number is the fastest way to stall.
$300,000 · $194/sq ft
What a typical resale home sells for today
15 vs 120 days on market
Since 2021: priced right sells fast; overpriced sits far longer
−11.2%
Resale value per sq ft off its 2022 peak — price to today, not the peak
The Bottom Line
Celina Hills is the affordable, still-building eastern edge of Citrus Hills — smaller half-acre lots, homes mostly in the $260,000s to low $400,000s. Pricing here turns on two things. It’s a very tight market (about 2.4 months of supply), but about a quarter of the past year’s sales were new construction sitting at the top of the range — price your resale to a builder’s number and you’ll stall. And it’s a small market: only a handful sell each year, so per-foot value bounces — today’s ~$188 sits about 11% below a thin 2022 high (still up ~17% since 2021). Since 2021, priced-right homes sold in about 15 days at 98% of ask; overpriced, they sat 120 days and gave up $35,900.00.
Prepared October 1, 2026 Single-family homes · resale 71 listings analyzed · 2021–2026
SELLER’S MARKET
At about 2.4 months of supply Celina is a very tight seller’s market — but that scarcity hides two traps. About a quarter of the past year’s sales were new construction, priced above the typical resale, so anchoring to a builder’s number overprices you. And with only a handful of resales a year, the per-foot numbers are noisy — today’s ~$188 is about 11% below a thin 2022 high. Price to the resale comps, not the new-build signs.
$300,000.00
Median resale price last 12 months
$194.07
Resale price paid per living sq ft (12 mo.)
98%
Of original asking price — what sellers ultimately got
26 days
Median market time when priced right (12 mo.)
3 / 1 / 11
Homes for sale / under contract / resales sold in 12 months
0 of 10
Listings in the current cycle that never sold at all
What’s Really Happening Here
Celina Hills sits on the eastern edge of the Villages of Citrus Hills, south of Route 486 — a deed-restricted community of roughly half-acre lots. It’s the community’s most accessible price point: smaller homes (mostly 1,200–2,100 sq ft) selling in the $260,000s to low $400,000s. And it’s still filling in, so new construction was about a quarter of the past year’s sales.
That new construction is the key to pricing right. New homes sell at the top of the range — recent builds closed at a median of $372,500, well above the typical resale near $300,000 — so pricing your home to a builder’s number stalls it. And with only 5–10 resales a year, no single year’s per-foot figure is gospel: values bounce around $185–$210, today near $188. The record still rewards discipline:
✓ Priced right from day one — 39 homes
Median time to contract15 days
Got of original asking price98.2%
Median given up from first price$6,000.00
✗ Overpriced, then cut — 7 homes
Median time to contract120 days
Got of original asking price91.0%
Median given up from first price$35,900.00
All 46 resale closed sales, 2021–2026 (new construction excluded). The past 12 months had just one price-cut resale — too few to compare on its own — so the long-run record is the guide. "Priced right" = sold with no price reduction; "overpriced" = reduced at least once before selling.
⚠ A note on new construction: about a quarter of all sales here since 2021 — and of this past year’s — are newly built homes, priced off a builder’s cost sheet rather than the resale market. Pricing your home to a new build is the fastest way to overprice — every figure here is resale-only.
What This Means for Your Pricing
You’re not competing with the new builds. New construction sits at the top of the range; the typical resale is near $300,000. Price to the resale comps, or buyers pick the brand-new home.
Don’t overread a small market. With 5–10 sales a year, per-foot value bounces ($185–$210); today’s ~$188 is about 11% below a thin 2022 high. Price to the true resale comps, not one noisy year.
Tight doesn’t mean bulletproof. Even at 2.4 months of supply, overpriced-then-cut sellers since 2021 sat 120 days and gave up a median of $35,900.00.
Celina Hills · The Numbers Behind the Story · Resale Homes
Resale Value Per Square Foot, by the Year — What the Market Actually Did
Median resale value per square foot by calendar year (2026 is year-to-date through September). We chart per-foot value, not median price — but note Celina is a small market (5–10 sales a year), so even this line is noisy: read it as a band around $185–$210, today near $188, up strongly from 2021 and below a thin 2022 high.
Resale Values, by the Year
Year
Sold
Median Price
$/SqFt
DOM
Ask
2021
5
285,000.00
$161.24
6
60%
2022
9
340,000.00
$211.94
10
56%
2023
5
364,000.00
$189.10
23
40%
2024
8
327,500.00
$195.71
26
0%
2025
9
335,000.00
$187.26
28
11%
2026 YTD
10
302,500.00
$188.27
31
20%
Resale homes only; full calendar years with 2026 as year-to-date through September. The $/SqFt column isolates real value change from which sizes happened to sell.
The Peak Test: on value per square foot, Celina’s high was a thin 2022 ($212 on just 9 sales); today’s ~$188 is about 11% under it, still up roughly 17% since 2021. In a market this small, one year’s number can mislead — the honest anchor is the recent resale band, not the 2022 spike or a new-build sign.
The Number Nobody Shows You
0 of 10
listings in the current cycle left the market unsold — every one that ended, ended in a sale
1 in 8.7
resale listings since 2021 never sold (6 of 52), after a median 78 days — nearly all priced too high
No Celina listing failed in the current cycle — but since 2021, about 1 in 8.7 resale listings here ended without a sale. In a market this size, overpricing doesn’t just slow a sale — it can kill it, and a long market history invites a harder negotiation.
Long-run perspective: resale value per square foot is up about 17% since 2021. Priced to today’s market — not the peak — your home has real equity and the data on its side.