One of the Villages of Citrus Hills · one-acre-plus wooded homesites east of Jill Street, under the Citrus Hills POA
Prepared October 1, 2026 · Resale single-family homes
BALANCED MARKET
5.5 months of homes for sale — here, the price you set decides your outcome.
$400,000 · $180/sq ft
What a typical resale home sells for today
22 vs 166 days on market
Priced right sells fast; overpriced sits far longer
−11.7%
Resale value per sq ft off its 2025 peak — price to today, not the peak
The Bottom Line
Fox Run Estates has tightened from a buyer’s market to balanced, with about 5.5 months of inventory and 3 homes now under contract. On a per-square-foot basis, resale value is about 11.7% below its 2025 peak (still up about 17% since 2021). The reward for pricing right is clear: over the past year, homes priced correctly from day one sold in a median of 22 days at 97.9% of asking, while the overpriced-then-cut homes sat 166 days and gave up a median of $27,900 from their first price. Price to the resale data, not to a hopeful number.
Prepared October 1, 2026 Single-family homes · resale 136 listings analyzed · 2021–2026
BALANCED MARKET
With about 5.5 months of homes for sale, Fox Run Estates is balanced — 3 homes are under contract, but 4 of the 6 for sale have already cut their price. On a per-square-foot basis, resale values are about 11.7% below its 2025 peak (still up about 17% since 2021). That makes pricing to today’s market everything.
$400,000.00
Median resale price last 12 months
$179.93
Resale price paid per living sq ft (12 mo.)
94%
Of original asking price — what sellers ultimately got
22 days
Median market time when priced right from day one
6 / 3 / 9
Homes for sale / under contract / resales sold in 12 months
1 in 5.5
Listings in the current cycle that never sold at all
What’s Really Happening Here
Fox Run Estates is one of the Villages of Citrus Hills, governed by the Citrus Hills POA — one-acre-plus wooded homesites on well and septic, with natural privacy and a quiet, country feel. The typical resale home sold near $400,000.00 ($180 a foot) over the past year. 6 homes are for sale against 3 under contract, and 4 of the 6 have already reduced price.
Long term the community has held up — resale value per square foot is about 11.7% below its 2025 peak (still up about 17% since 2021). But the discipline that sells a home here is pricing to the resale record, and that record is lopsided:
✓ Priced right from day one — 4 homes
Median time to contract22 days
Got of original asking price97.9%
Median given up from first price$7,950.00
✗ Overpriced, then cut — 5 homes
Median time to contract166 days
Got of original asking price92.2%
Median given up from first price$27,900.00
The 9 resale closings of the past 12 months (new construction excluded). "Priced right" = sold with no price reduction; "overpriced" = reduced at least once before selling. A small sample, and the same pattern the long-run record shows.
⚠ A note on new construction: about 10% of sales here are newly built homes, priced off a builder’s cost sheet rather than the resale market. Pricing your home to a new build is the fastest way to overprice — every figure here is resale-only.
What This Means for Your Pricing
Price to the sold data, not a hopeful number. On value per square foot, the market is about 11.7% below its 2025 peak. The homes that clear are the ones priced to the last 12 months of resale comps.
Overpricing is expensive. The overpriced-then-cut sellers waited a median of 166 days and gave up a median of $27,900.00 from first price to close.
Take every serious offer seriously. Only about 9 resale buyers closed here in the past year — in a market this size, the first strong offer is often the best you’ll see.
Fox Run Estates · The Numbers Behind the Story · Resale Homes
Resale Value Per Square Foot, by the Year — What the Market Actually Did
Median resale value per square foot by calendar year (2026 is year-to-date through September). We chart per-foot value, not median price — because median price swings on which sizes sell, while price-per-foot shows the real trend, and where your negotiating room sits.
Resale Values, by the Year
Year
Sold
Median Price
$/SqFt
DOM
Ask
2021
24
297,000.00
$153.52
12
58%
2022
24
387,950.00
$185.97
7
50%
2023
20
445,000.00
$190.81
27
15%
2024
19
425,000.00
$193.26
60
5%
2025
10
370,000.00
$203.83
18
30%
2026 YTD
9
400,000.00
$179.93
65
11%
Resale homes only; full calendar years with 2026 as year-to-date through September.
The Peak Test: on resale value per square foot, Fox Run Estates is about 11.7% below its 2025 peak (still up about 17% since 2021). Anchoring to the peak is the most expensive mistake a seller can make here.
The Number Nobody Shows You
1 in 5.5
resale listings in the current cycle left the market unsold (2 of 11 — expired or withdrawn)
194 days
how long the failed listings sat before giving up — nearly all simply priced too high
Not every listing sells. In the current cycle, 2 of 11 resale listings here — about 1 in 5.5 — ended without a sale. In a market this size, overpricing doesn’t just slow a sale — it can kill it, and a long market history invites a harder negotiation.
Long-run perspective: resale value per square foot is up about 17% since 2021. Priced to today’s market — not the peak — your home has real equity and the data on its side.