One of the Villages of Citrus Hills · half-acre homesites along The Meadows golf course, under the Citrus Hills POA
Prepared October 1, 2026 · Resale single-family homes
BUYER'S MARKET
10.7 months of homes for sale — the balance is firmly yours, with real room to negotiate.
$384,000 · $183/sq ft
What a typical existing home costs today
89%
Of original ask is what sellers got — the typical home sold $47,500 under its first price
−8.3%
Resale value per sq ft off its 2024 peak — a genuine correction in your favor
The Bottom Line
Meadows Estates favors buyers, with about 10.7 months of inventory. Recent buyers paid a median of 89% of original ask, and the overpriced listings are pure leverage — over the past 12 months, homes that started too high sat a median of 233 days and still sold about $79,950 under their first price. On value per square foot, resale value is about 8.3% below its 2024 peak (still up about 22% since 2021). We’ll judge every home on price per square foot before we write.
Prepared October 1, 2026 Single-family homes 124 listings analyzed · 2021–2026
BUYER’S MARKET
With about 10.7 months of homes for sale, Meadows Estates favors buyers — 4 of the 8 homes for sale have already cut their price. Recent buyers paid a median of 89% of original ask, and value per square foot is about 8.3% below its 2024 peak. That is real negotiating leverage.
$384,000.00
Median resale price last 12 months
$183.05
Resale price paid per living sq ft (12 mo.)
103 days
Median time on market before going under contract
89%
Of original asking price — what sellers actually got
$47,500.00
Median drop from first asking price to sold price
8 / 2 / 8
For sale now / under contract / resales closed in 12 months
What’s Really Happening Here
Meadows Estates is one of the Villages of Citrus Hills, on half-acre well-and-septic homesites along The Meadows golf course and governed by the Citrus Hills POA — where nearly every lot carries a golf-course view. The typical existing home sold near $384,000.00 over the past year, and with about 10.7 months of supply the balance sits firmly with you: 8 homes are for sale against 2 under contract, and 4 have already cut price.
New construction is minimal here (about 4% of sales), so this is essentially an all-resale market — what matters is how far values have moved and where the overpriced listings sit.
What This Means for Your Offer
Asking price is a starting point, not a verdict. Recent buyers paid a median of 89% of the original ask, and the typical home sold about $47,500.00 under its first number.
The overpriced listings are your leverage. Over the past 12 months, homes that started too high and cut their price sat a median of 233 days and still sold about $79,950.00 under their first ask. A home that’s been sitting is a negotiation waiting to happen.
Judge value in price per square foot. Where a home lands against the $183 resale median tells us what it’s really worth before we write.
Meadows Estates · The Numbers Behind the Story · Resale Homes
Resale Value Per Square Foot, by the Year — What the Market Actually Did
Median resale value per square foot by calendar year (2026 is year-to-date through September). We chart per-foot value, not median price — because median price swings on which sizes sell, while price-per-foot shows the real trend, and where your negotiating room sits.
Resale Values, by the Year
Year
Sold
Median Price
$/SqFt
DOM
At/over ask
2021
16
286,375.00
$153.05
14
38%
2022
11
385,000.00
$182.09
13
18%
2023
19
380,000.00
$187.63
60
5%
2024
12
412,500.00
$203.24
64
0%
2025
12
392,500.00
$184.19
84
0%
2026 YTD
7
353,000.00
$186.27
63
0%
Resale homes only; full calendar years with 2026 as year-to-date through September.
The Peak Test: on resale value per square foot, Meadows Estates is about 8.3% below its 2024 peak (still up about 22% since 2021). A cool-down you buy into, not a market you chase upward.
The Number Nobody Shows You
1 in 2.4
listings in the current cycle left the market unsold (5 of 12 — expired, withdrawn, or canceled)
179 days
how long those failed listings sat before the seller gave up — usually overpriced
Two ways that helps you. First, a seller whose home has sat for months is a negotiation waiting to happen. Second, those expired and withdrawn homes are inventory the portals no longer show — the owners still want to sell, and we can approach them directly for you.
Long-run perspective: resale value per square foot is up about 22% since 2021. You’re buying into a proven community with the negotiating room this market gives you.